How do you read betting blogs? Are you just using copy and paste of the predictions of the betting bloggers or there is something else? Well, I believe that copying and pasting is the most common mistake which almost everybody who deals with sports betting makes. Why do you think someone with a betting blog is better than you in making predictions? Everybody can have a blog, but not everybody is good at sports betting predictions, right?
This is why I believe the blogs have to be read differently. What do I mean? When you read betting blogs or forums you have to use them only for hints. The prediction and decision where to put your money is only yours, but the hints can come from other sources.
We all know that a single person cannot deal with the whole information needed for a good betting prediction. Here is where to use betting blogs and forums. They are there to help us find useful information which we have missed.
How do I do it? I have some bookmarked blogs and forums and read them every time when I am going to have a prediction. I read them carefully but not for the prediction given by the punters, but for the information about news, injuries or odds offered by the bookmakers.
You know, every bookie gives more than one hundred different options for betting on every huge soccer match. Among these odds sometimes there is one or two which are not correct. It is easy to be seen. You just look at the odds and in your mind something is saying – “Hey that cannot be possible. I am going to make this bet.”
These things I look for when I read betting blogs or forums – pieces of information which will help me to find valuable information about a match and incorrect odds given by the bookie. Not the predictions, but the information which will help me make my own predictions.
Is it possible to earn money from sport betting without having any knowledge about sports, teams, players and everything connected with betting? Well it is possible, but you have to know a lot about human thinking. If you ask me why I will tell you that betting isn’t a game of predictions. It is a game where the cool-headed bookmakers are against emotional, greedy and undisciplined punters. And this is our chance.
How it works? First of all you have to know that every bookmaker gives his odds for every match not based on their personal believes that some team will win or not. Not at all and this is the biggest deception in betting. The bookies offer their odds by what the punters think and believe.
The bookmaker is thinking only about making the whole amount of bets equal. I will explain you why. Let’s say that there is a basketball match between two equal teams. The odds given by the bookie are 1.91 for every outcome. When I bet 10 pounds on team A and you bet 10 pounds on team B one of us will win. There is no doubt in that. However, together we have bet 20 pounds. The winner will win 19.1 pounds. The remainder 0.9 pounds are clear win for the bookie.
I hope it sounds understandable. How can we use it?
The bookies must make all the odds equal and they do that by changing odds for one of the teams. Let’s say that team A gets most of the money. The bookie reacts right away and soon the odds for team B are much higher than those for team A. Everyone starts betting on team B because of the odds and the needed equality is achieved.
Our moment is to find these matches where most of the people believe one of the outcomes is the right one and bet on it. Soon, the odds for the other team will be high enough to bet securely on it. The chances for a win for team A or team B haven’t changed at all, but the odds are and this is what we have to use.
Look the video below for more math secrets in sports betting
Manchester City and the mixed composition of Malaysia will play today against each other in a friendly match, which will be played in the hot weather in Malaysia. Usually all such meetings have only one goal and it is to put fresh money into the pockets of the bigger club. Such meetings are also a great show for the audience and bring good revenue.
What can be bet on this match? At first glance, when you see a match between Manchester City and a mixed team from Malaysia you can only say it would be a crashing victory for the champion of England. But is it right?
There are some things that are against such a prediction and they should be considered by everyone who loves betting.
First of all, a really big victory against the host team is not a very good marketing strategy. People will hardly be pleased to see their fellows to be beaten too much.
On the other hand, the motivation of the stars in such meetings is not high enough. There is almost no one who would risk his own health in a marketing friendly match and possibly miss the entire season because of injury. Quite the opposite is the case for the home team players. They will face the best players in the world. This is a game which will be told to the little children for years to come and is a real challenge for every one of them.
The last argument to bet against the bigger names in such friendlies is the fact that the team of every European big gun selected for such friendlies is too often full of players who are not yet good enough to participate in real games. These friendlies are made just for them.
Because of what I said above the odds given by the bookmakers of 1.85 for a win of the Malaysian team with handicap of 2.5 goals seems to me extremely attractive. This is my prediction for this match and I hope the players of the champion of England would not be very happy at the end of the match.